LADY AT THE BAT: Pete Predicts! The 2016 New York Yankees

Thursday, March 31, 2016

Pete Predicts! The 2016 New York Yankees

As we await further updates on the chip fracture in Andrew Miller's right wrist, we continue with our season predictions for the 2016 season. Today's look into the pinstriped crystal ball comes from Pete Colgan:

On the eve of the 2016 season, the Yankees continue to try to rebuild at the same time as they try to contend. In the last fourteen seasons, the Yankees have played in exactly two World Series, a loss in 2003 and a championship in 2009. Nobody really cares that the Yankees have appeared in many post seasons during that time. The only things that matter is raising their 41st pennant (at minimum) and reaching the ultimate goal of Championship number 28, Will either happen this year?

Not likely.

First, the good news. I'm predicting a first place finish in the AL East for the Yankees. The big off season move, David Price leaving Toronto for Boston,  has made the Sox a contender and the defending division champion Blue Jays weaker in 2016. So, yes I think the Yankees can take the division this year and compete with both teams.

There seems to be a sense of urgency for several veteran players whose careers, at least as Yankees, are in the waning moments. Gone this season or next, will be Mark Teixeira, CC Sabathia, Carlos Beltran and Alex Rodriguez. It's now or never for this group. It seems reasonable to expect all will make some contributions to a winning season. The post season may be different. That may be the bad news. And post season appearances without a World Series seems futile for the true Yankees fan.  Seems as if teams loaded with young talent such as Texas, Houston, maybe Cleveland and definitely the defending champions from Kansas City have a better chance at pennants and championships. Older guys seem to fade late. and the Yankees rotation, not known for 200 plus inning seasons, might be hard pressed to dazzle 'em in the post season.

And it's not that the Yankees aren't making the right moves, either in trades for young potential in Didi Gregorius, Nathan Eovaldi, Starlin Castro and Aaron Hicks, or in their own player development: Dellin Betances, Luis Severino and the injured Greg Bird. The guys knocking on the door, Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Jorge Mateo, Bryan Mitchell and a host of young relievers should help keep the Yankees in contention for the foreseeable future.

A pennant or a World Series. is probably not in the cards this year. The division is probably wide open for three, four, maybe all five teams. Give the Yankees the nod there, but not much further.

The AL East title is the high point for Pete. Tomorrow, The Lady wraps things up!

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